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Baloch Militancy Resurges: Why a Major Attack Signals Strategic Trouble for the US and China

Source India Today

The deadliest Baloch militant attack in decades has jolted Pakistan’s security establishment and sent ripples across global capitals, particularly Washington and Beijing. The scale, coordination, and symbolic targeting of the assault underline a dangerous resurgence of Baloch insurgency at a time when the region has become central to global strategic competition.

The attack, carried out by Baloch separatist groups, highlighted both improved operational capabilities and renewed intent to internationalise their cause. Security analysts say the incident reflects long-standing grievances in Pakistan’s Balochistan province, including political marginalisation, enforced disappearances, and disputes over control of natural resources. Despite repeated military operations, these root causes remain largely unresolved.

For China, the attack is a direct warning. Balochistan is the linchpin of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a flagship project under Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. Chinese engineers, investments, and infrastructure—especially around Gwadar port—have repeatedly come under threat. The latest violence reinforces concerns in Beijing about the safety of its personnel and the long-term viability of multibillion-dollar projects in unstable regions.

The United States, too, cannot afford to ignore the developments. While Washington has limited direct involvement in Balochistan, instability in the province affects regional security, counterterrorism efforts, and the broader Indo-Pacific balance. A deteriorating security situation could further strain Pakistan’s internal stability, complicating US interests in South Asia and Afghanistan.

Experts note that the attack also exposes the limits of a purely militarised response. Heavy-handed crackdowns may suppress violence temporarily but risk fuelling further resentment. The renewed insurgency suggests Baloch groups are adapting tactics and seeking greater global attention, potentially drawing external actors into the conflict narrative.

As Pakistan grapples with economic stress and political uncertainty, the resurgence of Baloch militancy adds another layer of risk. For China, it raises hard questions about overseas security and partner reliability. For the US, it serves as a reminder that unresolved local conflicts can quickly acquire global significance.

The message from the latest attack is clear: Balochistan is no longer a peripheral issue. It is a strategic fault line, and ignoring its warning signs could prove costly for regional and global powers alike.

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